Juan Trippe Professor of International Economics
Yale School of Management
165 Whitney Avenue
New Haven, CT 06511
2015- Juan Trippe Professor of International Economics, Yale School of Management (Primary Appointment), Yale Department of Economics (Secondary Appointment) and the Jackson Institute for Global Affairs (Secondary Appointment)
2004-2006 Associate Professor, Economics, Yale School of Management
1999-2004 Assistant Professor, Economics, Yale School of Management
1993-1995 Sumitomo Trust & Banking Company, Ltd., Los Angeles
1990-1993 Sumitomo Trust & Banking Company, Ltd., New York
2018 Yale School of Management Teaching Award (Full-Time MBA
2013 Yale School of Management Teaching Award (Executive MBA Program)
AER Excellence in Refereeing Award, 2013-14
2012 Emerald Management Reviews Citations of Excellence Award
2010 Yale School of Management Teaching Award (Full-Time MBA Program)
National Science Foundation Research Grant, 2006-2009: (SES-0550190) Estimating
Cross-Country Differences in Product Quality. Joint w/ Hallak
National Science Foundation Research Grant, 2003-2009 (SES-0241474): Firms and
Product Choice in International Trade. Joint w/ Bernard
Best Graduate Student Paper, 1997 Empirical Investigations into International Trade
Co-Head, LACEA-TIGN Network, 2015-
NSF Review Panel, 2015-7
Associate Editor, American Economic Review, 2005-2008
Special Sworn Status Researcher, US Census Bureau
Research Associate, International Trade and Investment Program, NBER
Research Affiliate, International Growth Center (IGC)
Member, Conference on Research in Income and Wealth (CRIW)
Research Network Fellow, CESifo
International Research Associate, Institute for Fiscal Studies (UK)
Research Associate, Center for Economic Performance (LSE)
Editorial Board, FREIT
American Economic Association
Faculty Liaison, Yale Men’s Swim Team
Appalachian Regional Commission
Inter-American Development Bank
Policy Forums, Keynotes
2018 Encuentro Anual de la Sociedad de Economía de Chile (SECHI)
2017 Middlebury IP&E Symposium
2017 NABE Annual Meeting, Cleveland
2017 Jackson Hole Symposium (Press coverage: NYT, Bloomberg)
2017 Council on Foreign Relations Annual Meeting, New York, 2017.6.17
2017 Jackson Institute for Global Affairs Board Meeting, New Haven, 2017.4.6
2017 Yale Asia Development Council Meeting, Singapore, 2017.3.15
2007 Geroski Lecture, UK Competition Commission, 2007.6.13
2004 New Haven Festival of Arts and Ideas
2017: Fudan MBA, YGELP, Her Village, CKGSB, Seoul National MBA
2016: Yale IR Symposium, CKGSB, Lingnan, Seoul National MBA, YGELP, Signet
2015: Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business, Signet
2013-7: Yale Young Global Scholars Program
2014: Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance
2013: Beijing CEO Summit,
2011, 2013: JP Morgan Chase Fellows
2011,2014: The Founders Group
2010: TEDA (Tianjin China), Penghua Fund Management, Young Presidents Organization
2008: Sun Yat-Sen University
Alcoa’s Entry into China, New Haven CT March 2012
Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties (August 2018) Joint w/Pierce.
· Press coverage: Atlantic (2018.6.8); CBS News (2018.6.4); Vox (201710.19); Slate (2017.5.17); CBS News (2017.3.29); Washington Post (2017.303); Boston Globe (2016.12.27); Der Spiegel (2016.12.16); NPR (2016.12.8); Vox (2016.11.30); Fortune (2016.11.29); Business Insider (2016.11.26), WSJ (2016.11.28), Fortune (2016.11.24), Daily Mail (2016.11.24), Slate (2016.11.23), Washington Post (2016.11.23), WSJ (2016.11.23), Bloomberg (2016.11.22), Forbes (2016.2.15)
· Previous versions: November 2016
Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections? (April 2017) Joint w/Che, Lu, Pierce and Tao.
· Press coverage: WSJ (2016.8.11).
Trade Policy and the Structure of Supply Chains (February 2017) Joint w/Heise, Pierce and Schaur.
Insertion of Argentine Firms in Global Value Chains Not Oriented to the Mass Market (November 2012) Joint w/Gonzalez, Hallak and Soria Genta
Transfer Pricing by U.S.-Based Multinational Firms (August 2006) Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen.
· Press Coverage: Economist (2007.2.24)
Investment Responses to Trade Liberalization: Evidence from U.S. Industries and Plants. Forthcoming. Journal of International Economics. (July 2018) Joint w/Pierce.
New Perspectives on the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment. 2018. Journal of Economic Perspectives 32(2): 47-72. Joint w/Fort and Pierce.
Global Firms. 2018. Journal of Economic Literature 56(2):565-619. Joint w/Bernard, Jensen and Redding.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 22727 (2016)
The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment. 2016. American Economic Review 106(7):1632-62. Joint w/Pierce. Appendix. Data directory.
· Slides: slides
· Press coverage: Quartz (2018.45.3), Washington Post (2017.3.31), Politifact (2017.3.24), WSJ (2016.8.16), Washington Post (2013.1.6), WSJ (2013.1.7), NYT (2013.1.7), WSJ (2013.1.8), International Herald Tribune (2013.1.9), WSJ (2013.1.14), Washington Post (2014.6.26), Washington Post (2015.3.12), WSJ (2015.4.29), Bloomberg (2015.6.18), NYT (2015.7.8), Vox (2016.7.8), LA Times (2016.8.11), WSJ (2016.8.11), The Economist (2016.10.1)
Trade Liberalization and Embedded Institutional Reform: Evidence from Chinese Exporter. 2013. American Economic Review 103(6):2169-95. Joint w/Khandelwal and Wei.
Testing for Relative Factor Price Equality with Unobserved Differences in Factor Quality or Productivity. 2013. American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 5(2):135-163. Joint w/ Redding and Bernard.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 8068 (2001)
A Concordance Between Ten-Digit U.S. Harmonized System Codes and SIC/NAICS Product Classes and Industries. 2012. Journal of Economic and Social Measurement 37(1-2):61-96. Joint w/ Pierce.
The Empirics of Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade. 2012. Annual Review of Economics 4: 283-313. Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen and Redding.
Concording U.S. Harmonized System Categories Over Time Journal of Official Statistics 28(1):53-68 (March 2012). Joint w/ Pierce.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 14837 (2009); CES Working Paper (CES-WP-09-11)
Multi-Product Firms and Trade Liberalization Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(3):1271-1318 (2011). Joint w/ Bernard, Redding.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 12782 (2006)
Estimating Cross-Country Differences in Product Quality Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(1):417-474. (2011) Joint w/ Hallak. Additional materials
· Prior versions: NBER WP 13807 (2008)
Is Mexico a Lumpy Country? Review of International Economics 18(5):937-950. Joint w/ Bernard, Robertson.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 10898 (2004)
Intra-firm Trade and Product Contractibility American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 100(2): 444-448 (May 2010). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen and Redding.Joint w/Bernard, Jensen, Redding
Wholesalers and Retailers in U.S. Trade. American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 100(2): 408-413 (May 2010). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen and Redding.Joint w/Bernard, Jensen, Redding
Multi-Product Firms and Product Switching American Economic Review 100:70-97 (March 2010). Joint w/ Bernard, Redding.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 9789 (2003)
· This paper was also briefly circulated under the title “Multi-Product Firms and the Dynamics of Product Mix”
Products and Productivity Scandinavian Journal of Economics 111(4):681-709 (December 2009). Joint w/ Bernard, Redding.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 11575 (2005)
The Margins of U.S. Trade American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 99(2):487-493 (May 2009). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen and Redding.
Wage Variation and Industry Location in the United Kingdom
· Prior version: NBER WP 9998 (2003)
The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports Economic Policy 53:5-49 (January 2008).
· Press coverage: New Yorker, Economist, Newsweek
· Prior versions: NBER WP 12173 (2006)
Firms in International Trade Journal of Economic Perspectives 21(3):105-130 (Summer 2007). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen, Redding.
· Previous versions: NBER WP 13054 (2007)
Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms Review of Economic Studies 74(1):31-66 (January 2007). Joint w/ Bernard, Redding.
· Previous versions: NBER WP 10668 (2004)
Trade Costs, Firms and Productivity Journal of Monetary Economics 53(5): 917-937 (July 2006). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 9639 (2003)
Survival of the Best Fit: Exposure to Low-Wage Countries and the (Uneven) Growth of US Manufacturing Plants. Journal of International Economics 68(1):219-237 (January 2006). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen.
· Prior versions: NBER WP 9170 (2002)
· Publicly available data on trade costs and low-wage country penetration that are used in this paper can be found here, here and here, and are described here. New data for updating these measures is available here.
Across-Product versus Within-Product Specialization in International Trade. Quarterly Journal of Economics 119(2):647-678 (May 2004).
· Prior versions: NBER WP 8492 (2001)
Skill Deepening and Development: Will Peripheral Countries Ever Get Rich?
· Prior versions: NBER WP 9447 (2003)
A Comparison of Latin American and Asian Product Exports to the United States, 1972 to 1999. Latin American Journal of Economics. 121:414-422 (December 2003).
Size Fits All? Heckscher-Ohlin Specialization in
· Prior versions: NBER Working Paper 8244 (2001)
Natural Resource Abundance Cause Latin American Income Inequality?
Book Chapters / Other Publications
The Distributional Implications of Trade Liberalization with China (2017) in Simon Evenett (ed.), Cloth for Wine? The Relevance of Ricardo’s Comparative Advantage in the 21stCentury (CEPR Press). Joint w/ Pierce.
America’s Hidden Austerity Program, New York Times (Economix, June 11, 2012), joint w/ Polak.
The 2005 to 2008 Appreciation of the Yuan and U.S. Trade (April 2009), in Simon Evenett (ed), The US-Sino Currency Dispute: New Insights from Economics, Politics and Law (VoxEU: Geneva)
U.S. Trade Margins During the 2008 Crisis (November 2009), in Richard Baldwin (ed), The Great Trade Collapse: Causes, Consequences and Prospects (VoxEU: Geneva)
China’s Experience Under the MFA/ATC (2010) in Robert Feenstra and Shag-Jin Wei (eds.), China’s Growing Role in World Trade (University of Chicago Press, 2010). Joint w/ Brambilla, Khandelwal. Note: this is a revised version of NBER Working Paper 13346. Data used in this paper.
Exporters and Multinationals: A Portrait of Firms in the U.S. that Trade Goods
in T. Dunne, J.B. Jensen and M.J. Roberts (eds.), Producer Dynamics: New Evidence from
Micro Data (
How does China compete with developed countries? Vox (October 2007)
The Rich (and Poor) Keep Getting Richer Harvard Business Review 83(4):20 (April 2005). Joint w/ Leamer.
How Offshore Work Affects Your Industry Harvard Business Review 82(11):24 (November 2004). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen.
“Concerts and Regional
Report on the State of Available Data for the Study of International Trade and Foreign Direct Investment (August 2010). Joint with Feenstra, Lipsey, Branstetter, Foley, Harrigan, Jensen, Kletzer, Mann and Wright. NBER Working Paper 16254.
Assessing the Impact of Trade Liberalization on Import-Competing Industries in the Appalachian Region (September 2004). Joint with Bernard, Jensen.
Facing the Dragon: The Prospects for U.S. Manufacturing in the Coming Decade (May 2004). Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen. Wall Street Journal article about this paper (8.17.2004).
US Imports, Exports and Tariff Data, 1989 to 2001. (November 2002) Joint w/ Feenstra, Romalis (NBER 9387). Click here to download data.
Land Abundance as a Source of Latin American Income Inequality (July 13, 1999). Joint w/ Leamer. Background paper for World Bank World Development Report 2000/01, available here. A related paper served as background research for an Inter-American Development Bank report on Nature, Development and Distribution in Latin America Evidence on the Role of Geography, Climate and Natural Resources.
Dormant Working Papers
A Note on Empirical Implementation of the Lens Condition (December 2004) Joint w/ Bernard, Robertson.
Ranking Countries According to the Value of Their Exports (December 2003)
Education, Development and Trade: What's the Relationship? (January, 1998)
Strategic Options: Black-Scholes and
Sharat Ganapati (Yale PhD, 2017)
Matthew Grant (Yale PhD, 2017)
Sebastian Heise (Yale PhD, 2016)
Cristina Tello-Trillo (Yale PhD, 2015)
Lorenzo Rotunno (Geneva PhD, 2013)
Ted Rosenbaum (Yale PhD, 2013)
Olga Timoshenko (Yale PhD, 2012)
Julien Martin (Paris 1, 2011)
Camila Campos (Yale PhD, 2010)
Florian Ploeckl (Yale PhD, 2009)
A.V. Chari (Yale PhD, 2009)
Amit Khandelwal (Yale PhD, 2008)
Matthais Helble (Geneva PhD, 2007)
Invited Presentations 1999-Present, By Paper
31. Trade Liberalization and Investment
Hong Kong University, 2018.6.28
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 2018.5.11
Georgetown, Washington DC, 2017.11.13
30. New Perspectives on the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
Encuentro Anual de la Sociedad de Economía de Chile (SECHI), 2018.9.7
Asia Pacific Trade Conference, Hong Kong, 2018.6.29
Duke Conference on Firm, Industry and Trade Dynamics, 2018.5.3
Yale International Trade Seminar, 2017.11.8
29. Trade Liberalization and Earnings among Manufacturing and
Non-Manufacturing Workers in the United States
Board of Governors, DC 2017.4.28
Yale Trade Lunch, 2017.3.7
28. Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties
Ridge Summer School, Mexico City, 2017.6.19
IEA World Congress, Mexico City, 2017.6.19
ETH, Zurich 2017.5.30
Board of Governors, DC 2017.4.27
NBER ITI Winter Meeting, Stanford 2016.12.3
National Bank of Belgium, 2016.11.15
Indiana University, 2016.10.5
Yale Center in Beijing, 2016.7.22
Global Value Summer Workshop e, UIBE Beijing 2016.7.21
Stanford SITE Conference, 2016.6.29
Oxford Conference on Trade and Health, 2016.6.8
Chicago Booth, 2016.5.16
GA Tech, 2016.4.8
Yale Cowles Foundation, 2016.3.30
Yale Trade Lunch, 2015.11.17
27. Trade Policy and the Structure of Supply Chains
Indiana University, 2016.10.5
Global Value Summer Workshop e, UIBE Beijing 2016.7.21
Philly Fed Trade Conference, 2015.11.20
City University of NY, 2015.11.10
University of Toronto, Toronto, 2015.9.23
NBER Japan Conference, Tokyo, 2015.7.30
26. Do Chinese Imports Influence American Politics?
Global Value Summer Workshop e, UIBE Beijing 2016.7.21
NBER China Conference, Cambridge MA, 2015.10.9
25. The Dynamics of Firm Capabilities
AEA Annual Meeting, Boston, 2015.1.3
24. The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
Ridge Workshop on Firm Dynamics, Trade and Development, Montevideo 2014.12.11
CESifo Area Conference on Global Economy, Munich 2014.6.16
LACEA-IADB-CAF TIGN Conference, Santiago CHL, 2014.5.23
Yale School of Management, 2014.4.9
Penn State, 2014.4.8
US China Commission 2014.2.21
Yale (Macro Lunch) 2014.2.19
North American Regional Science Council Conference, Atlanta 2013.11.14
GW Conference on U.S.-China Economic Relations, Washington DC 2013.11.8
Yale (Trade Workshop), 2013.10.9
NY Fed, 2013.9.27
University of Tennessee, 2013.9.16
Graduate Institute, Geneva, 2013.8.29
NBER Summer Institute, Trade 2013.6.11
HKUST Conference on International Economics, 2013.6.7
Carnegie Mellon / University of Pittsburgh, 2013.4.12
Hitotsubashi GCOE Trade Conference, Tokyo 2012.12.9
Third China-US Civil Strategic Dialogue, Beijing 2012.8.25
American Economic Association Annual Meeting, Chicago, 2012.1.7
23. Trade Liberalization and Embedded Institutional Reform: Evidence From
Hitotsubashi, Tokyo, 2012.6.27
ITAM, Mexico City, 2012.5.18
CREI-Move Workshop on Misallocation, Barcelona, 2012.5.12
NBER Productivity, July 12, 2012
NBER ITI, August 5, 2012
Cowles Summer Conference, 2011.6.17
World Bank 2011.4.5
Ecole d/Economie/INRA/Sciences Po, Paris, 2010.10.19
22. Wholesalers and
Retailers in U.S. Trade
American Economic Association Annual Meeting, Atlanta, 1/5/10
21. The Margins of
American Economic Association Annual Meeting,
20. Multi-Product Firms and Trade Liberalization
San Francisco Fed, 12/7/9
CAED 2009 (Tokyo), 10/3/9
CES-IFO Summer Institute (Venice), 7/12/9
Board of Governors, 9/6/8
Egon Sohmen Symposium, Barcelona, 5/24/8
Penn State, 5/4/7
HEI, University of Geneva, 1/12/7
19. Firms in International Trade
Stanford Institute for Theoretical Economics, 8/8/8
18. Transfer Pricing by U.S.-Based Multinational
Yale SOM, 3/29/6
17. Estimating Cross-Country Differences in Product
Paris School of Economics, 5/9/11
University of Chicago GSB, 11/13/6
International Monetary Fund, 10/25/5
University of Maryland, 10/24/5
Board of Governors 10/13/5
Bank of Spain 9/29/5
NBER ITI, 8/1/5
NBER CRIW, 7/26/5
Firms and the Dynamics of Product Mix
15. Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms
14. The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports
45th Economic Policy Panel Meeting (Frankfurt), 4/20/7
IMF China Trade Conference, 4/5/7
NBER China Working Group, 10/1/4
13. Export Prices and
the Divergence of Leaders and Followers on the International Quality Ladder
Choice and Product Switching Joint w/Bernard,
CEPR Conference on Innovation and the Structure of Product Market Competition (
Skill Deepening and Development: Will Peripheral Countries Ever Get Rich? Joint w/ Redding.
Inter-American Seminar on Economics (NBER,
EIIT 9 (Emory) 11/8/2
10. Trade Costs, Firms and Productivity Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen.
Carnegie-Rochester Conference on International Trade and Globalization, 11/18/5
EIIT 9 (Emory) 11/8/2
of the Best Fit: Low Wage Competition and the (Uneven) Growth of US
Manufacturing Plants (w/ Bernard and Jensen)
AEA Anuual Meeting, Philadelphia, 1/9/4
University of Toronto, 11/4/3
The Hemispheric Trade Debate Conference, Yale University 4/3/3
Yale University, 12/9/2
University of Michigan, 10/25/2
University of Texas, Austin, 10/21/2
University of Nottingham, 10/9/2
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 5/17/2
NBER Univeristy Conference on Firms and Trade, 5/10/2
University of North Carolina, 4/18/2
University of Pennsylvania, 3/19/2
8. Moving Up and Moving Out: Product-Level US Exports and
Competition from Low-Wage Countries
NBER ITI Spring Meeting, 3/14/2
University of California, Berkeley, 12/14/1
Yale School of Management, 11/28/1
Dartmouth College, 11/14/1
EIIT 8 (Purdue) 11/9/1
versus Within-Product Specialization in International Trade
World Bank, 5/8/1
Columbia University, 12/13/0
University of California, Santa Cruz, 11/14/0
University of Oregon, 11/10/0
Princeton University, 10/20/0
NBER ITI Summer Institute 8/9/0
London School of Economics, (Visitor 5/27/0 - 6/2/0)
Yale School of Management, 4/26/0
Yale University, 3/27/0
Price Equality and the Economies of the
NBER ITI Summer Institute 8/9/1
NBER Labor in the Global Economy Seminar, 5/11/1
Yale Department of Economics 4/2/1
EIIT 7 (Boulder) 11/4/00
NBER ITI Summer Institute 8/9/0
EIIT 6 (Purdue), 11/13/99
4. One Size
Fits All? Heckscher-Ohlin Specialization in Global
Beijing University CCER, 7/7/99
1999 Far Eastern Meeting of The Econometric Society (Singapore), 7/2/99
Job Market 1/99-3/99
EIIT 5 (Purdue), 11/14/98
Abundance, Risk and Return: An HO Linear Programming Approach to FDI
Workshop on Empirical Research into International Trade and Investment, June 19-22, 1998, Copenhagen, Denmark
Inter-American Development Bank (Washington DC), 3/27/98.
Development and Trade: What's the Relationship?
EIIT 4 (Purdue), 11/1/97
Conference on Human Capital and Economic Development in
Conference on Economic Integration and Taiwan's Industry Restructuring (sponsored by National Cheng Chi University, Taiwan), 5/15/97. (Topic: Should
1. Concerts of
Power and Regional Intervention (Joint
with R. Rosecrance)
Conference on Regional Conflict in a Post Cold-War Era (sponsored by UCSD IGCC), 4/22/95